First:
The National Intelligence Estimate was made public in December, 2007 and was widely reported as contradicting the Bush Administration's position on Iran:
A new assessment by American intelligence agencies concludes that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and that the program remains frozen, contradicting judgment two years ago that Tehran was working relentlessly toward building a nuclear bomb.
The conclusions of the new assessment are likely to reshape the final year of the Bush administration, which has made halting Iran’s nuclear program a cornerstone of its foreign policy.
The assessment, a National Intelligence Estimate that represents the consensus view of all 16 American spy agencies, states that Tehran is likely keeping its options open with respect to building a weapon, but that intelligence agencies “do not know whether it currently intends to develop nuclear weapons.”
Democrats and the antiwar crowd were ecstatic at this turn of events because the NIE effectively tied the hands of the President and seemed to make it practically impossible for him to be able to put a military option for dealing with Iran on the table. It also affirmed their core belief that Iran--with or without nukes--was less dangerous than the evil BusHitler and American Imperialism.
Second:
Israeli intelligence sharply disagreed with the NIE about Iran's nuclear capabilities and intentions:
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said, in an interview published Saturday, that Iran is "quite advanced" in its work on atomic weapons and may already be fashioning a nuclear warhead.
"We suspect they are probably already working on warheads for ground-to-ground missiles," Barak said in an interview with The Washington Post and Newsweek magazine.
He also suggested that Iranians "probably ... have another clandestine enrichment operation beyond the one in Natanz."
The remarks were in stark contrast the conclusion of a US National Intelligence Estimate released late last year that said Tehran had abandoned its quest for nuclear weapons as far back as 2003.
Barak sharply disagreed with this assessment.
"Our interpretation is that clearly the Iranians are aiming at nuclear capability," he said.
Clearly Israel has some excellent reasons to be a bit more suspicious about Iran's nuclear ambitions because this is the same regime that has threatened to "wipe" them "off the map"; idolizes Hitler and denies that the Holocaust even happened; even as it vows to continue the work of the 3rd Reich and regularly exhorts its citizens to "slaughter the Jews".
Third:
President Bush tries to put some positive spin on the NIE and emphasize the portions of it that "connect the dots" --something which he was viciously criticized for not doing prior to 9/11 (though he'd only been in office a mere 8 months and we now know that the 9/11 attacks were planned for years before they were carried out)Watch how relentlessly the MSM reporters try to make it seem like he must be lying to us about the threat of Iran:
And then, this week, , EU "experts" are suddenly shocked! shocked! to discover that Iran may have a nuclear weapon by the end of the year:
New simulations carried out by European Union experts come to an alarming conclusion: Iran could have enough highly enriched uranium to build an atomic bomb by the end of this year.
Could Iran be building an atomic bomb? When the US released a new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) late last year, it seemed as though the danger of a mullah-bomb had passed. The report claimed to have information indicating that Tehran mothballed its nuclear weapons program as early as autumn 2003. The paper also said that it was "very unlikely" that Iran would have enough highly enriched uranium -- the primary ingredient in atomic bombs -- by 2009 to produce such a weapon. Rather, the NIE indicated "Iran probably would be technically capable of producing enough (highly enriched uranium) for a weapon sometime during the 2010-2015timeframe."
It didn't take long for experts to question the report's conclusion that Tehran was no longer interested in building the bomb. And now, a new computer simulation undertaken by European Union experts indicates that the NIE's time estimates might be dangerously inaccurate as well -- and that Iran might have enough fuel for a bomb much earlier than was previously thought....
Oh dear.
So, will we do what is necessary? Will Israel? Will anyone? Will this insane Iranian circle game just keep going round and round and round until the apocalyptic vision of the Islamofascists of Iran and Al Qaeda comes to pass?
REPRISE:
THE IRANIAN CIRCLE GAME
Yesterday the UN got to wondering,
If Tehran would ever get a clue?
A fearful world could hear the mullahs thundering
That Islam had to have a nuke or two.
As Mahmoud ambles slowy through the seasons
And the mullahs play their games with the EU
They give words, excuses, promises and reasons;
Then provoke and bluster seemingly on cue.
And the seasons they go round and round
And the lying mullahs go up and down,
The West is captive to taquiyya every day
We can’t believe a single thing they say
Their words and deeds are lame...
So we go round and round and round
In their circle game.
Ahmadinejad waits for the 12th Imam now,
Sure that Blair or Bush won't rein him in;
And he's got those fifteen British prisoners
That he can use for diplomatic spin.
And the seasons they go round and round
And the lying mullahs go up and down,
We’re captive to taquiyya every day:
We can’t believe a single thing they say
Their words and deeds are lame...
So we go round and round and round
In their circle game.
The years go by and soon they'll have their weapon,
And the left will still be blaming Bush,
It's true;
Meanwhile Iran won't care what toes they step on,
As they proceed to wipe out all the Jews.
And the seasons they go round and round
And the lying mullahs go up and down,
We’re captive to taquiyya every day:
We can’t believe a single thing they say
It's just insane...
Can't someone put a stop
to their circle game?
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